After years of deliberations, negotiations and amendments, the Israeli government recently adopted its final framework for the regulation of the burgeoning natural gas sector. This exciting development is a reflection of the country's vibrant democracy, strong rule of law, and climate of regulatory certainty; it will hopefully foster geopolitical stability in the eastern Mediterranean basin and will potentially promote economic development projects and unprecendented development opportunities in the region.
THE ISRAELI GAS FRAMEWORK: BACKGROUND AND PROCESS
Israel has historically been a natural resource poor country and is more widely known for its innovation and high-tech industry. However, over the course of the last seven years several major natural gas reservoirs have been discovered in the country's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) placing Israel on the map for the first time with respect to natural resource opportunities.
Israel's four ;argest natural gas fields have largely been held by two parties - Noble Energy and the Delek Group - while the exploration efforts of other right holders have mostly proved unsuccesful. As of June 2016, Delek and Nobel together control 85 per cent of the Leviathan field, 67,25 per cent of the Tamar field, and 100 per cent of both the Karish and Tanin fields.
The Tamar field, estimated at containing 10 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of gas, was first discovered in 2009 and became operational in April 2013: it now generates more than half of Israel's domestic electricity production. The Leviathan field (estimated at 22 Tcf) was discovered in 2010 and production has not yet commenced. Tanin and Karish are much smaller fields which similarly have not yet been developed to production stage.
In December 2014, Israel's then Antitrust Commissioner announced his decision to break-uo the Noble-Delek dominant position in this sector by cancelling a previous arrangement proposed by the Commissionar. This would have allowed the companies to retain their respective stakes in Leviathan and Tamar on the condition that they sell their shares in the smaller Tanin and Karish fields. This decision resulted in an immediate halt in the developmenft of Leviathan and triggered an intense deliberation process by the Israeli government, involving negotiations with Noble and Delek.
The aim of such negotiations was to adopt a long-term comprehensive arrangement which would enable the development of Israeli gas reservoirs on the one hand, while affording solutions to the natural concerns of exploitation of a monopolistic position. This process took place during the entire year 2015 and involved public and parliamentary hearinfs and heated debate among the Israeli public. Finally, on the 17 December 2015, the Israeli Government approved the 'Natural gas framework', which constitutes a comprehensive regulation of the issue.
The main principles of the framework are:
- Mandatory sale Noble and Delek must sell all their rights in the small fields Tanin and Karish within a specified 14-month timeframe. The Delek Group must sell all of its rights in the Tamar field and Noble Energy must sell at least 11 per cent of its rights (limiting its maximum holdings in Tamar to 25 per cent) by December 2021. The buyers of these holdings must be unrelated third parties, who shall be approved by the Petroleum Commissioner in consultation with the Antitrust Commissioner.
- Development and local purchase commitments the Leviathan leaseholders must purchase at least US$1.5 billion in services and equipment for the Leviathan field's development by the end of 2017 and the Tamar and Leviathan leaseholders must invest at least US$500 million over eight years in pertinent Israeli goods and services, R&D, personnel, and professional training.
- Protections to customers the Antitrust Commissioner conditioned his approval of a series of nine long-term agreements for the sale of gas from the Tamar field upon the granting of a two-year "window of opportunity" (anticipated during 2020-22, but subject to change) for customers to reduce the quantities which are committed to be purchased under the current "take or pay" purchase agreements by up to 50 per cent. In addition, with respect to these long-term agreements as well as nine affitional short-term agreements, customers will be permitted to re-sell 15 per cent of their contractually purchased quantity in secondary sales without pricing restrictions. Future purchases will enjoy additional protections relating to pricing.
- Export and tax the framework reinstates, with some modifications, a former government resolution regarding export restrictions which determines that a certain predetermined quantity of gas should be reserved for the local market. It also clarifies various points relating to the special taxation regime applicable for the sale of natural resources.
- Stability clause this integral provision requires the government to guarantee regulatory stability for ten years. This clause in its original version would change the main parameters of the framework, and current regulations are required the goverment to oppose similar private legislation. These undertakings are conditional upon compliance by the leaseholders with their respective commitments under the Framework.
THE JUDICIAL PROCESS
Fuelled by the heated public discourse questioning the government's policy considerations, a number of interested and political groups challenged the framework before the Supreme Court of Israel in its capacity as the High Court of Justice. The appeal hinged on the legality of the fovernment to adopt its type of legilative-like agenda not by way of primary legislation of the Knesset (the Israeli parliament).
The five Supreme Court judges methodically reviewed and comprehensively analysed each issue, with each judge expressing slightly different opinions on the various issues. The majority opinion, issued on 27 March 2016, determined that the framework in its current form was not adopted properly, primarily on account of the legal status of its Stability Clause. The government was granted one year to resolve this issue.
REVISED STABILITY CLAUS
The government promptly addressed tje court's concerns and, on 22 May 2016, annouced its amended framework with a more lenient stability clayse. While the new clause still refers to a 10-year long regulatory climate in the natural gas sector which is intended to attract investment, it no longer guarantees nor does it mandate that the government will abstain from and oppose the enactment of any material changes.
Rather, the new clause provides that the government will carefully consider future regulatory changes which relate to the 'government take' from the leaseholders' profits and other matters dealt with in the framework when swuch changes could have a material adverse effect (in the eyes of a reasonable investor) on the leaseholders.
In the even of a material change of this kind, the govrnment will undergo an evaluation process which will explore and form solutions in order to sustain the economic viability of the projects. Such evaluation process must be concluded during a fixed and relatively short timetable and will take into account, inter alia, conformity with OECD and other worldwide standards, the amounts already invested in the projectsmas well as the existence of approved export agreements.
As in the previous version of the clause, these governmental undertakings are conditional upon compliance by the leaseholders with the provisions of the framework. This improved framework has thus far gone unchallenged, although it cannot be ruled out that additional petitions will be submitted to the court.
GOING FORWARDS AND CONCLUSIONS
Recent events in Israel's natural gas sector are an encouraging reality for foreign investment n Israel. The recent deliberations and legal proceedings surrounding the framework have showcased Israel's vibrant democracy and strong rule of law. The High Court of Justice's opinion outlines a clear separation of powers between Israel's executive and legislative branches effectuating political, legal, and regulatory certainty imperative for direct foreign investment.
From an investment perspective, it is the hope that the framework will serve as a stimulus in expediting the development of Israel's natural gas reserves and for promoting trade agreements with neighbouring eastern Mediterranean countries. Such trade agreements can hopefully serve to foster geopolitical stability in the region.
By way of example, it was reported that Leviathan partners and British Gas were close to signing a US$30 billion deal to supply 3.7 Tef of gas to over 15 years to Briish Gas' liquefaction facility in Idku, Egypt. It has also been reported in the media that Israel and Turkey are coming closer to a gas deal as well as including the possibility of a pipeline through Turkey. While relations between the two states have been shaky as of late, a trade agreement wouldadvance the rapprochement that interests both sides.
Additionally, in February 2016, it was reported that the Tamar partners signed a letter of intent with private customers in Jordan to supply 0.006 Tfc over 10 years. Lastly, in April 2016, it was annouced that the Palestinian Investment Fund received a provisional permit and would soon publish tenders for building a US$600 million power station to be supplied with natural gas from the Leviathan field. The power station is intended to provide 450 MW of electricity to West Bank residents.
The3 framework is already spawning a boom in discussions on foreign investment in Israel. Under the framework, the Leviathan field will need to be developed rapidly requiring an infusion of billiions of dollars most of which will likely be funded by sources outside of Israel. Moreover, it was annouced recently by the Israeli government that there will be a new round of exploratory permits to be granted by the Israeli government (likely in the autumn) as the country's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) continues to prove fertile. For example, this past January it was reported that the partners in the Daniel gas field off the coast of Ashdod and near the Gaza Strip, have geological report estimating such field to hold 8.9 Tcf of natural gas.
There is optimism that the major regulatory hurldes have now been overcome so that Israel can finally find its place as a global energy provider as well as a home base for safe investment opportunities.