Following the general election on May 5, 2015, Alberta’s new government moved swiftly to strike a panel (the “Panel”) to review Alberta’s oil and gas royalty framework. The Panel’s mandate was to produce a report (the “Report”) of recommended changes to the existing framework. In the Report, the Panel made four overarching recommendations. These recommendations were to:
- establish guiding principles and design criteria for Alberta’s royalty framework;
- modernize Alberta’s royalty framework for crude oil, liquids and natural gas;
- enhance the royalty process for the oil sands; and
- seize opportunities for value-added processing.
With respect to the first two recommendations, the Panel found that Alberta’s existing royalties were comparable with those in international jurisdictions; however, certain issues should be addressed for crude oil, liquids and natural gas. The Panel therefore proposed a new modernized Alberta royalty framework (the “New Framework”). This New Framework will only apply to “new wells” drilled on or after January 1, 2017. The current Alberta royalty framework will continue to apply to “old wells” drilled prior to January 1, 2017 for a period of ten years, starting January 1, 2017. After expiry of the ten year period, old wells will fall under the New Framework. The Panel also recommended that two existing government drilling incentive programs, the Natural Gas Deep Drilling Program and Emerging Research & Technology Initiative, be extended to cover all wells drilled to the end of 2016.
The New Framework will apply to crude oil, liquids and natural gas, and royalties will be determined on a “revenue minus costs” basis. This represents two significant changes from the current royalty framework. One significant change is the adoption of the concept of “payout”, similar to the existing bitumen royalty framework, and the corresponding requirement for producers to pay a reduced royalty rate pre-payout. The other significant change is the move away from the categorization of a well as being either an oil well or a gas well, with different royalties applicable to each category. This differing treatment of oil wells and gas wells, and the difficulty, in some cases, in determining such classification, gave rise to a lack of clarity in the existing royalty framework. Under the New Framework, the same royalty calculation applies to both oil wells and gas wells, so the need to make the determination is now obviated.
The cost component of the New Framework will be based on a Drilling and Completion Cost Allowance (“C*”, pronounced “C-star”) formula for each well. The C* formula will be based on the industry average drilling and production cost for any new well (the “Alberta Capital Cost Index”), which will be set by the Alberta Energy Regulator (the “AER”). In order to determine the Alberta Capital Cost Index, producers will be required to report on their actual capital costs to the AER. The AER will use this information to set the Alberta Capital Cost Index for each year, starting in 2017. The Alberta Capital Cost Index will be applied on a go-forward basis to new wells only. When drilling a new well, producers will input the well’s vertical depth and lateral length into the C* formula to determine that well’s C*.
Producers will pay a flat royalty rate of 5% of gross revenue from a well until the well reaches payout. Payout for a well is defined as the point at which cumulative revenue equals C*. After payout, producers will pay an increased post-payout royalty on revenue. This increased royalty will be determined by reference to the current commodity prices of the various hydrocarbons, using the “Price Function”. Similar to the current royalty framework, the post-payout royalty rate will vary according to the Price Function for the remaining life of the well. Once production declines below a certain level (the “Maturity Threshold”), royalty rates will be adjusted downward in proportion to declining production. The following chart, taken from the Report, provides an example of royalties payable over the life of a well under the New Framework.
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The C* formula described above relies on deemed costs and not actual costs incurred by a producer. Efficient producers will reap a significant benefit if their actual operating costs are lower than industry standard. This is because these producers will continue to pay the lower royalty for a period of time after their actual payout, which will occur prior to the C*-based payout.
The Report recommends that a “Calibration Team” be established to finalize the C* calculation, set post-payout rates and determine the Maturity Threshold. The Panel recommended that the Calibration Team’s work should be completed by March 31, 2016, in order to give producers time to set budgets for 2017.
For bitumen, the existing pre-payout royalty rate of 5% and post-payout sliding scale rates of 25% – 40% will remain in place and unchanged. The Panel did make recommendations to increase clarity, transparency and accountability in relation to calculating deductible costs and payout for oil sands projects.
The Report identified two opportunities for value-added processing that the province should pursue. The first recommended opportunity is to develop a value-added natural gas strategy. This would involve using natural gas to “bridge the gap” in electricity generation while coal powered plants are phased out in favor of renewables. This strategy would also involve using natural gas as an input into other value-added sectors, such as bitumen upgrading, gas-to-liquids processing, fertilizers, and consumer-oriented products such as biomedical equipment and pharmaceuticals.
The Report also recommended that the province should examine opportunities to accelerate the development and commercialization of partial-upgrading and alternative value-creation technologies for bitumen. The Report noted that 50% of bitumen produced in the province is already upgraded, and there is likely no market capacity to take additional upgraded bitumen. The Report therefore recommended that partial-upgrading of bitumen, which would result in a medium to medium-heavy grade of oil, may represent an opportunity for creation of a marketable, value-added product. Coupled with emerging technology to leave the heaviest, “bottom of the barrel” bitumen in the ground, this could have the further benefit of improving project economics.
Although the Report is very comprehensive, exactly how the proposed changes will be implemented remains to be seen. Such changes include the announcement, made on February 1, 2016, that the government will be introducing CDN$500,000,000 in incentives for building petrochemical refining capacity in the province. More details will follow as they become available.