The first four primaries represent 4 percent of all pledged delegates, but greatly influence perceptions going into later primaries. In previous presidential races the eventual nominee has finished first or second place in every “first four” primary since 2004, except in the 2008 GOP race. If this holds true, it will be Sen. Bernie Sanders or former Vice President Joe Biden. Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar dropping out has changed the entire dynamics of the race as we head into Super Tuesday. On Tuesday watch the early states on the East Coast to get a read if a clear winner starts emerging or if Joe Biden continues to sweep southern states. If Biden performs well in TX and CA he will be able to keep delegate counts within a viable range of Sanders.