As one of the country’s true swing states, North Carolina acted accordingly in the 2016 election. There are a number of close races and all vote totals are UNOFFICIAL until they are canvassed. There are provisional ballots ad mail-in ballots, postmarked, but not received prior to the election. After the canvass, losing candidates in extremely close races may demand a recount. The NC Board of Elections circulated this document that outlines the process for canvassing and requesting recounts. A candidate may request a recount after canvassing is complete if: 1) for a statewide race is within the margin of 10,000 votes; 2) within 1% of all ballots cast for non-statewide races. Recounts must be called for by Nov. 22.
President-elect Trump (R) won handily, as did Sen. Burr (R). The vote for Governor is very close, with Attorney General Roy Cooper (D) leading by 5,001 votes over incumbent Governor Pat McCrory (R), a margin of .11%. Cooper declared victory but Gov. McCrory has yet to concede. Provisional ballots have not been counted and the unofficial vote won’t be made official until November 18th, when the votes are canvassed.
There are currently four Council of State races within a 1% margin of victory: Governor; Attorney General; Auditor; and Insurance Commissioner. The Attorney General’s race, an open seat, has Josh Stein (D) leading by 20,793 votes, a margin of .46% over Buck Newton (R). Stein declared victory and Newton has yet to concede. It also appears that longtime incumbent Insurance Commissioner Wayne Goodwin (D) will lose to Mike Causey (R). It also appears that longtime incumbent Superintendent June Atkinson (D) will also lose her race by 1.2%.
The House and Senate figures are also tentative, with a handful of races that appear subject to potential recount, or could be affected by provisional ballots. However it does appear that Republicans in both the House and Senate will retain their super majorities.
Senate Republicans will likely gain a seat following Danny Britt’s (R) upset of Sen. Jane Smith (D-Columbus) in a district that is considered a strong Democratic seat. However, one race that is extremely close is the seat currently held by Sen. Barringer (R-Wake), who is leading by 1,029 votes, a margin of .85%. If that result does not change, Senate Republicans will increase their majority by one, to 35-15.
In the House, Democrats appear likely to pick up a net of one seat. The Republican majority is currently 75-45, which includes Rep. Tine (U-Dare) who caucused with the GOP and did not seek reelection. That majority is likely to drop to 74-46. However, the path to that result was somewhat unconventional, with the defeat of a number of incumbents from both parties. Republicans retained the seat held by Rep. Tine (U-Dare), won the open seat being vacated by Rep. Waddell (D-Columbus), who was not seeking reelection, and defeated incumbents Rep. Salmon (D-Harnett), Rep. Queen (D-Haywood).
Democrats won the open seat held by Rep. Jeter (R-Mecklenburg), who was not seeking reelection, and defeated incumbents Rep. Avila (R-Wake), Rep. Pendleton (R-Wake), and Rep. Bryan (R-Mecklenburg).
Among the surprise upsets of incumbents was the lone NC Supreme Court seat on the ballot. Judge Mike Morgan, who was endorsed by the Democratic Party in a technically nonpartisan race defeated conservative sitting Justice Bob Edmunds, who had the support of the GOP. The result tips the balance of North Carolina’s highest court away from a 5-4 Republican majority to a 5-4 Democratic majority.
The North Carolina Free Enterprise Foundation has a complete analysis of the all the federal and state-level races which includes the vote totals in all of the legislative races as well, can be found here.